000
WTPZ24 KNHC 031433
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE ISELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092014
1500 UTC SUN AUG 03 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 132.8W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 132.8W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 132.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 15.6N 134.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 15.7N 136.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 15.7N 137.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.8N 139.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 16.5N 143.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 18.0N 149.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 20.0N 156.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 132.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG