000
WTPZ24 KNHC 020850
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042014
0900 UTC WED JUL 02 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 116.0W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 116.0W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 115.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 19.8N 116.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.2N 116.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.6N 116.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.1N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 22.2N 119.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 23.0N 122.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 23.0N 125.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 116.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART