000
WTPZ24 KNHC 062031
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142013
2100 UTC SUN OCT 06 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 118.5W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 118.5W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 118.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 13.2N 120.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 13.5N 122.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 14.1N 124.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 14.9N 125.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 16.0N 126.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 16.5N 127.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 16.5N 128.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N 118.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN