000
WTPZ24 KNHC 231434
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM IVO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092013
1500 UTC FRI AUG 23 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF IVO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING OR WATCH MAY BE
REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THIS AREA LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 112.4W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 150SE 120SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 210SE 150SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 112.4W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 112.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 19.8N 112.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 21.5N 113.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 23.3N 113.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 25.1N 114.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 27.0N 115.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 28.0N 116.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 112.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN