000
WTPZ24 KNHC 021800
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE DALILA SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042013
1800 UTC TUE JUL 02 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 107.1W AT 02/1800Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 107.1W AT 02/1800Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 106.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.2N 107.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.0N 107.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 17.8N 108.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 17.6N 109.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 17.0N 110.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 16.5N 112.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 16.5N 115.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 107.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/ZELINSKY