000
WTPZ24 KNHC 021431
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM DALILA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042013
1500 UTC TUE JUL 02 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 106.9W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 106.9W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 106.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.6N 107.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 17.4N 107.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 17.2N 108.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 17.0N 109.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 16.7N 110.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 16.5N 112.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 16.5N 115.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 106.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/ZELINSKY