000
WTPZ24 KNHC 012045
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM DALILA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042013
2100 UTC MON JUL 01 2013
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
AND THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 106.5W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 106.5W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 106.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 18.2N 107.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.4N 107.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.5N 108.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.5N 109.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.5N 110.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 18.5N 112.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 18.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 106.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/ZELINSKY