000
WTPZ24 KNHC 310251
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE ILEANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092012
0300 UTC FRI AUG 31 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 114.2W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 240SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 114.2W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 114.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 21.8N 114.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.6N 115.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 23.1N 117.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 23.6N 118.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 24.3N 121.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 24.5N 124.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 24.5N 126.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N 114.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA