000
WTPZ24 KNHC 062035
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM DANIEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042012
2100 UTC FRI JUL 06 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 116.0W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 116.0W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 115.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 14.6N 117.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 14.8N 119.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 15.0N 122.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 15.4N 124.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 16.0N 130.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 16.0N 136.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 16.0N 142.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 116.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN