000
WTPZ24 KNHC 052042
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM DANIEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042012
2100 UTC THU JUL 05 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 111.7W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  45SE  45SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 111.7W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 111.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 14.5N 113.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 14.8N 115.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 15.1N 117.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 15.3N 119.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 15.7N 124.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 16.0N 130.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 16.5N 136.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 111.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE