000
WTPZ24 KNHC 280250
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092011
0300 UTC WED SEP 28 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 117.7W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  968 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......105NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 117.7W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 117.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.1N 118.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...105NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.0N 118.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...105NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.1N 118.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 21.3N 118.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 23.3N 119.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 25.0N 120.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 25.5N 120.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 117.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN