000
WTPZ24 KNHC 240847
TCMEP4
HURRICANE CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042010
0900 UTC THU JUN 24 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 112.8W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  967 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  55SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT....... 95NE  95SE  85SW  95NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 180SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 112.8W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 13.0N 114.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  55SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT... 95NE  95SE  85SW  95NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 13.7N 117.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 14.4N 119.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 15.1N 120.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.2N 123.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 16.5N 125.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 16.5N 126.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 112.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART