000
WTPZ24 KNHC 232035
TCMEP4
HURRICANE CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042010
2100 UTC WED JUN 23 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 110.4W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  963 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 55NE  45SE  40SW  55NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  85SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 110.4W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 109.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 12.6N 112.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 55NE  45SE  40SW  55NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 13.1N 114.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 55NE  45SE  40SW  55NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 13.8N 117.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 55NE  45SE  40SW  55NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 14.5N 119.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  45SE  40SW  55NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.5N 123.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 16.0N 125.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 16.5N 127.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 110.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/STEWART