000
WTPZ24 KNHC 231448
TCMEP4
HURRICANE CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042010
1500 UTC WED JUN 23 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 109.2W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 210SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 109.2W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 108.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 12.5N 111.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 12.9N 113.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 13.5N 115.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 14.2N 117.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.5N 122.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 16.0N 124.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 16.5N 126.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N 109.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/STEWART