000
WTPZ24 KNHC 230848
TCMEP4
HURRICANE CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042010
0900 UTC WED JUN 23 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 108.0W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 270SE 100SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 108.0W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 107.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 12.0N 109.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 12.3N 112.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 12.9N 114.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 13.6N 116.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 14.9N 120.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 15.8N 124.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 16.0N 126.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.9N 108.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN