000
WTPZ24 KNHC 230231
TCMEP4
HURRICANE CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042010
0300 UTC WED JUN 23 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 107.3W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 270SE 100SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 107.3W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 106.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 12.0N 108.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 12.3N 111.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 12.7N 113.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 13.3N 115.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 14.5N 119.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 15.5N 123.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 16.4N 125.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.9N 107.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA