000
WTPZ24 KNHC 202034
TCMEP4
HURRICANE CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042010
2100 UTC SUN JUN 20 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 100.3W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 100.3W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 100.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 11.4N 101.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 11.4N 102.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 11.5N 103.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 11.6N 105.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 12.3N 108.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 13.5N 112.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 15.0N 116.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 100.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN