000
WTPZ24 KNHC 201432
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042010
1500 UTC SUN JUN 20 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 100.0W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT....... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 100.0W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N  99.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 11.7N 101.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 11.6N 102.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 11.7N 103.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 11.8N 104.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 12.3N 107.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 13.5N 111.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 15.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.9N 100.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN