000
WTPZ24 KNHC 312036
TCMEP4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP142009
2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2009
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 121.4W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  60SE   0SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 121.4W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 121.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.7N 121.2W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 18.1N 120.9W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 18.3N 120.7W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.5N 120.6W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.6N 120.6W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 121.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH