000
WTPZ24 KNHC 302032
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP142009
2100 UTC SUN AUG 30 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 121.9W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 121.9W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 121.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 15.8N 121.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 16.6N 120.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.3N 120.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 17.9N 119.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.9N 118.7W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 19.3N 118.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 19.6N 118.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 121.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH