000
WTPZ24 KNHC 301432
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP142009
1500 UTC SUN AUG 30 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 121.8W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  40SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 121.8W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 121.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 15.4N 121.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 20NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 16.2N 120.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.9N 120.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 17.6N 119.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 18.7N 118.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 19.2N 118.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 19.5N 118.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 121.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH