000
WTPZ24 KNHC 292032
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP142009
2100 UTC SAT AUG 29 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 122.2W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 122.2W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 122.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 13.2N 122.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 14.2N 122.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 30NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 15.1N 122.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 45NE  60SE  45SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 16.1N 122.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  60SE  45SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 17.5N 121.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 18.5N 120.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 19.5N 120.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 122.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN