000 WTPZ24 KNHC 160231 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042009 0300 UTC THU JUL 16 2009 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 132.0W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 30SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 132.0W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 131.5W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 10.3N 133.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 10.3N 135.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 10.3N 137.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 10.4N 140.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 10.5N 146.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 10.0N 152.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 10.0N 158.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.2N 132.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN