000
WTPZ24 KNHC 152033
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042009
2100 UTC WED JUL 15 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 130.8W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 130.8W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 130.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 10.1N 132.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 10.1N 134.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 10.1N 136.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 10.0N 138.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z  9.5N 144.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z  9.5N 150.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z  9.5N 156.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.1N 130.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN