000
WTPZ24 KNHC 131455
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042009
1500 UTC MON JUL 13 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.6N 125.3W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE  30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.6N 125.3W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.8N 124.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z  9.6N 127.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z  9.9N 129.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 10.2N 131.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 10.5N 133.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 11.0N 137.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 11.5N 142.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 11.5N 148.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.6N 125.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG