000
WTPZ24 KNHC 130832
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042009
0900 UTC MON JUL 13 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 124.1W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  45SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 124.1W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 123.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 10.2N 125.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 10.4N 128.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 10.7N 130.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 11.1N 132.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 11.9N 136.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 12.5N 141.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 12.5N 145.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.2N 124.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/PASCH