000
WTPZ24 KNHC 122033
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042009
2100 UTC SUN JUL 12 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 121.9W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  45SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 121.9W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 121.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 10.4N 123.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 10.5N 126.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 10.7N 128.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 10.9N 130.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 11.5N 135.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 12.5N 139.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 13.0N 144.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.3N 121.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/FRANKLIN