000
WTPZ24 KNHC 120830
TCMEP4
HURRICANE CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042009
0900 UTC SUN JUL 12 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 120.0W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..155NE 120SE  50SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 120.0W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 119.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 10.6N 121.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 10.8N 124.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 11.1N 126.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 11.4N 128.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 12.2N 133.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 13.0N 138.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 14.0N 142.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.5N 120.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/PASCH