000
WTPZ24 KNHC 120231
TCMEP4
HURRICANE CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042009
0300 UTC SUN JUL 12 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 119.0W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  45SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 119.0W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 118.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 10.6N 120.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 10.8N 123.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 11.0N 125.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 11.3N 127.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 12.0N 132.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 12.7N 137.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 13.5N 142.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.5N 119.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN