000
WTPZ24 KNHC 102033
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042009
2100 UTC FRI JUL 10 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 113.9W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 113.9W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 113.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 10.4N 115.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 10.8N 117.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 11.1N 120.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 11.4N 122.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 12.0N 127.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 12.5N 131.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 13.0N 136.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.3N 113.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN