000
WTPZ24 KNHC 101433
TCMEP4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042009
1500 UTC FRI JUL 10 2009
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 112.8W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 112.8W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 112.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 10.5N 114.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 10.7N 116.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 10.8N 118.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 11.3N 121.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 12.0N 126.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 13.0N 131.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 13.5N 136.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.4N 112.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA