000
WTPZ24 KNHC 041433
TCMEP4
HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP142008
1500 UTC SAT OCT 04 2008
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 122.1W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  35SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 122.1W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 122.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.6N 122.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.9N 122.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 19.1N 123.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 19.3N 125.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 19.3N 128.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 19.0N 130.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 18.5N 132.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 122.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE