000
WTPZ24 KNHC 040831
TCMEP4
HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP142008
0900 UTC SAT OCT 04 2008
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 122.0W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   5 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  35SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 122.0W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 122.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.6N 122.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 19.0N 122.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  20SW  45NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 19.3N 123.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 19.4N 124.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.5N 127.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 19.5N 130.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 19.0N 133.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 122.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN