000
WTPZ24 KNHC 020243
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP142008
0300 UTC THU OCT 02 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 119.5W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  45SE  45SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 119.5W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 119.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 18.4N 120.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 30NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.6N 121.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 45NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.7N 123.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 45NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.6N 124.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 45NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.5N 125.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 18.3N 127.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 18.3N 129.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 119.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN