000
WTPZ24 KNHC 012034
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP142008
2100 UTC WED OCT 01 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 117.4W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  40SE  60SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 117.4W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 117.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 18.3N 118.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 30NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.7N 119.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.9N 120.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.9N 121.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.7N 123.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 18.5N 125.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 18.5N 126.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 117.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN