000
WTPZ24 KNHC 011436
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP142008
1500 UTC WED OCT 01 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 116.3W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  40SE  50SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 116.3W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 116.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.8N 117.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 20NE  50SE  50SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 18.2N 118.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  60SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.4N 120.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.5N 121.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 18.5N 123.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 18.5N 125.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 18.5N 126.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 116.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/FRANKLIN