000
WTPZ24 KNHC 010833
TCMEP4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP142008
0900 UTC WED OCT 01 2008
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 115.7W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 115.7W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 115.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 17.0N 116.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.7N 118.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  45SE  45SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.1N 119.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.1N 121.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 18.0N 123.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 18.0N 124.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 18.0N 126.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 115.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN