000
WTPZ24 KNHC 100232
TCMEP4
HURRICANE HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092008
0300 UTC SUN AUG 10 2008
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 124.9W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  961 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 100SE 100SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 124.9W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 124.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 17.2N 126.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 100SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 17.7N 127.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 17.9N 128.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 18.0N 130.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 17.5N 132.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 17.0N 134.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 16.0N 136.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 124.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN