000
WTPZ24 KNHC 080827
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092008
0900 UTC FRI AUG 08 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 118.9W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 30NE  60SE  75SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 118.9W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 118.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 15.1N 120.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 30NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 15.4N 122.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 16.0N 124.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 17.0N 125.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 18.0N 128.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 18.0N 131.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 17.5N 134.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 118.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA