000
WTPZ24 KNHC 072041
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092008
2100 UTC THU AUG 07 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 116.7W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 116.7W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 116.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 15.3N 118.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 15.8N 119.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 16.5N 121.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 17.1N 123.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 18.0N 126.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 19.0N 130.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 19.0N 133.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 116.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB