000
WTPZ24 KNHC 022038
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042008
2100 UTC WED JUL 02 2008
 
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF DOUGLAS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 108.3W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  35 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 108.3W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 108.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.9N 109.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.5N 110.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.0N 111.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.6N 112.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  45SE  45SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.2N 113.8W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 21.2N 115.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 108.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN