000
WTPZ23 KNHC 202035
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132023
2100 UTC WED SEP 20 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 124.2W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE   0SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 124.2W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 123.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 16.2N 125.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  20SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.3N 126.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 18.5N 126.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 20.0N 127.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 21.0N 127.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 21.8N 127.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 124.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER HAGEN/ROBERTS