000
WTPZ23 KNHC 141009
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL STORM GREG FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082023
0900 UTC MON AUG 14 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 139.8W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 139.8W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 139.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 11.4N 141.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 11.5N 143.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 11.7N 146.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 12.1N 148.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 12.5N 151.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 12.8N 153.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 12.7N 158.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 12.1N 163.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N 139.8W
 
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE 
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE 
FOUND IN FORECAST/ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC 
HURRICANE CENTER BEGINNING AT 1500 UTC...UNDER AWIPS HEADER 
HFOTCMCP3...WMO HEADER WTPA23 PHFO.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN