000
WTPZ23 KNHC 140243
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082023
0300 UTC MON AUG 14 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 138.6W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 138.6W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 138.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 11.5N 140.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 11.6N 142.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 11.9N 145.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 12.4N 147.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 13.0N 150.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 13.6N 152.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 13.6N 157.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 12.9N 162.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N 138.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI