000
WTPZ23 KNHC 140242
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE CALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032023
0300 UTC FRI JUL 14 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 120.5W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 120.5W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 119.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 13.7N 122.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  10SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 14.3N 125.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 14.9N 128.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  10SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 15.5N 131.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.2N 134.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  10SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.7N 137.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  40SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 17.7N 144.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 18.6N 151.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 120.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI