000
WTPZ23 KNHC 280846
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082022
0900 UTC THU JUL 28 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 117.5W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 117.5W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 117.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 15.3N 118.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 14.4N 120.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 13.9N 121.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 13.6N 121.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 13.6N 121.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 14.2N 121.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE  40SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 117.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN