000
WTPZ23 KNHC 240837
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032022
0900 UTC FRI JUN 24 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 108.4W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  90SE  60SW 135NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 108.4W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 108.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 17.3N 109.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 17.7N 110.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 18.2N 111.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 18.8N 112.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 19.4N 114.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 20.0N 116.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 21.3N 120.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 22.0N 125.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 108.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI/BLAKE