000
WTPZ23 KNHC 200252
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032022
0300 UTC MON JUN 20 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N  93.9W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N  93.9W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N  93.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 11.9N  95.1W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 11.9N  97.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 12.1N  99.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 12.4N 101.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 12.8N 102.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 13.5N 104.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 15.4N 107.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 17.0N 109.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N  93.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI/BLAKE