396 
WTPZ23 KNHC 191433
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032022
1500 UTC SUN JUN 19 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  92.4W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  92.4W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  91.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 12.4N  93.8W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 11.8N  95.4W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 11.7N  97.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 12.0N  99.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 12.4N 101.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 12.9N 102.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 14.5N 106.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 16.0N 108.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N  92.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN