000
WTPZ23 KNHC 241449
TCMEP3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182014
1500 UTC WED SEP 24 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 105.5W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 105.5W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 105.0W

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.7N 107.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.7N 109.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.7N 110.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.6N 112.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 20.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 21.0N 116.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 22.0N 116.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 105.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN